I would argue that a direct war with Russia or China is actually less likely now after they failed against Iran. They’re arrogant but they’re not suicidal. They don’t want to go after someone strong, they want an easy victory against someone weak, which is why they are looking at Venezuela.
Right now but desperation will set in soon and burning it all down to prevent others from “inheriting the world” will become a real possibility for the empire.
I don’t see how that works just from material perspective alone. Russia is singlehandedly outproducing all of NATO militarily. China has orders of magnitude bigger industry. We’ve also seen that the west is entirely dependent on critical inputs from China like rare earths without which all high tech manufacturing here stops, including military production. Finally, Both Russia and China are nuclear superpowers, so any direct conflict would be suicidal.
I can’t argue with that, the biggest worry is that the empire will just decide to go out with a bang and start a nuclear holocaust. My hope is that the oligarchs would rather rule over a diminished empire than live the rest of their lives out in a bunker like rats.
Its also catastrophically inflaming given people are much more riled up right now and more “class aware” (not conscious though)
Exactly, the public now knows they’re getting fucked, and they are angry.
I expect a war with China or Russia, likely both along Iran if they havent done anything about it until then, when that happens.
I would argue that a direct war with Russia or China is actually less likely now after they failed against Iran. They’re arrogant but they’re not suicidal. They don’t want to go after someone strong, they want an easy victory against someone weak, which is why they are looking at Venezuela.
Right now but desperation will set in soon and burning it all down to prevent others from “inheriting the world” will become a real possibility for the empire.
I don’t see how that works just from material perspective alone. Russia is singlehandedly outproducing all of NATO militarily. China has orders of magnitude bigger industry. We’ve also seen that the west is entirely dependent on critical inputs from China like rare earths without which all high tech manufacturing here stops, including military production. Finally, Both Russia and China are nuclear superpowers, so any direct conflict would be suicidal.
Exactly my point. Conquering the Soviet Union was suicidal by the Nazis but they still did it because fascism demanded it.
I can’t argue with that, the biggest worry is that the empire will just decide to go out with a bang and start a nuclear holocaust. My hope is that the oligarchs would rather rule over a diminished empire than live the rest of their lives out in a bunker like rats.