Sorry, my wording was very unclear. I was referring to the LLMs having a small but non-zero chance to actually get good enough to replace senior devs.
You are right though, chances for the average junior dev to reach senior status are much better than for LLMs to reach that stage any time soon (if ever).
The biggest problem with using AI instead of junior developers is that junior developers eventually become senior developers. LLMs … don’t.
They might, but it does not seem likely to me and is definitely not guaranteed.
It’s more likely than it happening with an LLM, though. Without junior developers the number of future senior devs approaches zero.
Sorry, my wording was very unclear. I was referring to the LLMs having a small but non-zero chance to actually get good enough to replace senior devs.
You are right though, chances for the average junior dev to reach senior status are much better than for LLMs to reach that stage any time soon (if ever).