Tesla Has 39 Unsupervised Robotaxis Nearly a Year After Launch. At This Rate, They’ll Catch Up to Waymo in 85 Years. - FuelArc News
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TLDR: Since Tesla’s June 2025 robotaxi launch, Tesla has built a 39-vehicle unsupervised fleet, while Waymo has a newly disclosed 3,791-vehicle U.S. fleet. So Tesla appears to be on pace to catch up with Waymo’s autonomous fleet size by the year 2111. Assuming, of course, Waymo politely stops building autonomous vehicles and waits for Tesla […]

TLDR: Tesla will have as many robotaxis as Waymo in the year 2111, if the current growth rate holds (and if Waymo doesn’t add a single additional vehicle). So… I’m guessing the Tesla stock price will skyrocket.

    • KayLeadfoot@fedia.ioOP
      5·
      12 hours ago

      I was actually surprised that Waymo had only thousands of units in operation.

      That being said, 3,000 commercially operating for years with zero fatalities, that’s not nothing. It’s not a ton, it doesn’t change the world (much), but it isn’t zero. Tesla’s result so far rounds down to zero.