That said, by the time you can actually run a significant software company without any programmers it seems likely that you could also run most white collar firms with vastly fewer employees and then we’re going to have bigger problems.
You can’t solve people problems without people. It doesn’t matter how fancy your calculator is, whether it can only do addition or it’s capable of simulating the universe. Someone has to take the blame (and accept the credit).
No one can tell whether AGI in the form of something akin to biological brains will happen. How will we build something we can’t comprehend the architecture of?
Also, I think their point was not that AGI will never happen, it’s more that it doesn’t matter whether it happens or not, because AI/AGI will not solve our problems (well, it will solve some, but create so many more that in the end we’ve really achieved nothing).
I think we are further from AGI than people think. I doubt I will live to see it.
Also, I think their point was not that AGI will never happen, it’s more that it doesn’t matter whether it happens or not, because AI/AGI will not solve our problems
This exactly. AGI can never solve people problems because those problems are inherent to people. Social problems, for example, don’t magically disappear because you have a magic box that does everything.
I think we are further from AGI than people think. I doubt I will live to see it.
I would go far enough as to say that most people alive, if not all, definitely won’t see AGI in their lifetime. That’s of course besides the point, but still…
Never? Never is a long time.
That said, by the time you can actually run a significant software company without any programmers it seems likely that you could also run most white collar firms with vastly fewer employees and then we’re going to have bigger problems.
Yep, it is.
You can’t solve people problems without people. It doesn’t matter how fancy your calculator is, whether it can only do addition or it’s capable of simulating the universe. Someone has to take the blame (and accept the credit).
Why? You could have an entire company run by a single person if that is required for legal purposes. Or even multiple companies.
It would pretty much require strong AI / AGI, but are you really suggesting that we will never have AGI?
No one can tell whether AGI in the form of something akin to biological brains will happen. How will we build something we can’t comprehend the architecture of?
Also, I think their point was not that AGI will never happen, it’s more that it doesn’t matter whether it happens or not, because AI/AGI will not solve our problems (well, it will solve some, but create so many more that in the end we’ve really achieved nothing).
I think we are further from AGI than people think. I doubt I will live to see it.
This exactly. AGI can never solve people problems because those problems are inherent to people. Social problems, for example, don’t magically disappear because you have a magic box that does everything.
I would go far enough as to say that most people alive, if not all, definitely won’t see AGI in their lifetime. That’s of course besides the point, but still…