Here’s what you’ll learn when you read this story:
- By studying population trends and forecasting models, researchers have come to believe that nearly 15,000 U.S. cities will face noticeable depopulation by 2100.
- Populated areas of the cities in question could experience a decline of up to 44 percent.
- Projections call for the biggest drops in city populations to occur in the Northeast and Midwest.
The US is also suffering from a low fertility rate, at 1.79 (population replacement rate is 2.1), which we made up for in the 20th century by lots of immigration.
(This is one of the factors that informs the great replacement myth, as non-whites approach outnumbering whites in the US. A vocal minority sees this as a bad thing, especially since whites tend to vote Republican and Blacks tend to vote Democrat).
I find it odd and fascinating that the ownership class is terrified by the notion of a lowering population – babies allegedly grow up to be workers after all – but are not willing to pass policy to support child rearing, and depend entirely on tradwife propaganda and restricting contraception access and abortion access.
It’s especially a problem since our economy is based entirely on growth, with lots of young people providing support for elders.
The US is not unique with this problem. South Korea, Japan and Italy (actually the whole EU) also have low rates and are trying to implement changes to improve fertility, and so far to little effect.
They want more babies, but don’t want to pay anything for it, hence the laws restricting contraception and no support that would potentially increase taxes.
But, the question is, why do they want us to have more babies? And, yes, I mean even specifically white babies. They’re hell-bent on replacing workers with machines. More angry people banging at the mansion door seems like a bad idea.
I don’t think billionaires are particularly smart.
This is not problem. Population needs to decrease
To add to this there’s an event horizon birth rate of 1.5 children per women. Once you cross the event horizon you never come back out (there might be one or two exceptions technically but I’m quoting someone else here so don’t @ me)
The basic loop is once birth rates are that low things are usually pretty bad for parents. Uncertainty about the future, extreme focus on attaining stability where stability is an impossibility. Once you drop below 1.5 for a sustained period of time you never come back out. The people who could fix it (parents) are overworked, underpaid, living in tiny apartments they can barely afford, have to pay more in childcare than rent just to maintain their living situation…
The young can’t be the only ones investing in the future…
seems like we’re already there
Yeah if you subtract immigration and first gen immigrants (>14yo at immigration is highly likely to have the same amount of kids as where they’re from. <14yo is highly likely to have close to the new host nations family size) the US is already on the other side of the event horizon.