The amount of hyperbole on this topic certainly isn’t helping. People either see it as a singularity waiting to happen or insist that it’s literally nothing but a spell checker. Why on Earth would any executive who has seen a sliver of what these models are actually capable of listen to sentiments that they do nothing useful at all?
The number of arguments being made by critics who actually give the subject an honest and informed judgement is vanishingly small from the general populace. No one is going to see this and adjust their position at all. The lack of nuance will be met with immediate dismissal, and even more considered arguments may be collaterally ignored as a result.
When everyone seems silly and unreasonable to everyone else, nothing is going to get done.
This technology would have been lauded if they had presented it as what it was - natural language recognition for machines - and stopped there. But they decided to push this entire narrative of it being able to analyze and make decisions, replacing all knowledge workers with it, which it fundamentally is incapable of doing, because that’s not how vector transformers work. There’s going to be an equally diminutive reaction to those exaggerations. The fact that this race to an impossible goal is actively harming hundreds of other industries and ultimately the consumers across the board is only adding to that resentment.
My experiments with some of the code assist models is they can be an amazing productivity boost, but only if you are not greedy.
If I ask the bot “Please make me this data structure with this list of parameters” its probably 99% perfect. Moving up, the sweet spot is closer to “Make me this module of code that matches this ABI/API”. Alternatively “Hey can you make this entire feature?” I will get a 8000 line of code blob that may or may not work. Even worse if I get really greedy I will get a 8000 file project filled with 8000 lines of code that is most definitely going to start the robot uprising.
Giving the junior and midlevel code monkeys access to AI coding tools is an amazing way to generate a mountain of slop the senior and most expensive code monkey gets trapped trying to decipher while the junior monkeys make even more shit that needs to be dealt with.
Boil it down, if we make centaurs of humans leading AI it will definitely work better than a reverse centaur that will confidently tell a gig driver to drive off a cliff.
The amount of hyperbole on this topic certainly isn’t helping. People either see it as a singularity waiting to happen or insist that it’s literally nothing but a spell checker. Why on Earth would any executive who has seen a sliver of what these models are actually capable of listen to sentiments that they do nothing useful at all?
The number of arguments being made by critics who actually give the subject an honest and informed judgement is vanishingly small from the general populace. No one is going to see this and adjust their position at all. The lack of nuance will be met with immediate dismissal, and even more considered arguments may be collaterally ignored as a result.
When everyone seems silly and unreasonable to everyone else, nothing is going to get done.
This technology would have been lauded if they had presented it as what it was - natural language recognition for machines - and stopped there. But they decided to push this entire narrative of it being able to analyze and make decisions, replacing all knowledge workers with it, which it fundamentally is incapable of doing, because that’s not how vector transformers work. There’s going to be an equally diminutive reaction to those exaggerations. The fact that this race to an impossible goal is actively harming hundreds of other industries and ultimately the consumers across the board is only adding to that resentment.
They do nothing useful for skilled workers working within their domain of expertise.
For the unskilled, the magic copy machine is amazing.
Now, who am I to judge which category the average CEO falls into. lol.
My experiments with some of the code assist models is they can be an amazing productivity boost, but only if you are not greedy.
If I ask the bot “Please make me this data structure with this list of parameters” its probably 99% perfect. Moving up, the sweet spot is closer to “Make me this module of code that matches this ABI/API”. Alternatively “Hey can you make this entire feature?” I will get a 8000 line of code blob that may or may not work. Even worse if I get really greedy I will get a 8000 file project filled with 8000 lines of code that is most definitely going to start the robot uprising.
Giving the junior and midlevel code monkeys access to AI coding tools is an amazing way to generate a mountain of slop the senior and most expensive code monkey gets trapped trying to decipher while the junior monkeys make even more shit that needs to be dealt with.
Boil it down, if we make centaurs of humans leading AI it will definitely work better than a reverse centaur that will confidently tell a gig driver to drive off a cliff.
You’re right, the reasonable position is to buy up every single piece of technology on earth so we can see what might do faster.